billion, city, million, years

Swiss women launch second national strike for gender equality   -15%

A national women's strike kicks off in Switzerland over a persistent gender pay gap and workplace discrimination. It comes 28 years after a similar strike that led to the approval of a Gender Equality Act. But women say more change is needed today. Also, eurozone finance ministers strike a compromise on a watered-down common budget.


The Shrink Next Door: New revelations about the Jewiest, screwiest podcast ever   -10%

After over 30 years under the mental sway of his psychiatrist, Marty Markowitz shares how one man took over his family life and business in No. 1 rated podcast


'Toy Story 4' cashes in on the ageless aspect of animation   9%


"The Incredibles" stayed away for 14 years, then picked up superhero-ing right where they left off. "Toy Story 4" and "Finding Dory" put nine and 13 years between themselves and their predecessors. "Frozen" will have been on ice for six years when the sequel blows back into theaters around Thanksgiving.


South Africa: Runner Dies a Day After Completing Comrades   40%

[News24Wire] Cape Town -The Comrades Marathon Association (CMA) has confirmed that an athlete passed away after participating in this year's event.


Former pilot looks to stop Dickson in his tracks  

DHS spending bill moves — Uber CEO sees driverless in ‘15-plus years’


Older woman thinks she is a Mrs. Robinson   28%


Six months ago, I met a very interesting and intelligent man. I am falling hard for him. He is 29 years old – 24 years younger than me.

       


Carrie Underwood and NFL stole 'Sunday Night Football' theme: lawsuit   -5%

Country music superstar Carrie Underwood, the National Football League and NBC were sued on Wednesday for allegedly copying the "Game On" theme song used in 2018 for "Sunday Night Football" from an identically-titled song recorded two years earlier.


Putting A Price On Chat: Slack Is Going Public At $16 Billion Value  

In just five years, Slack has grown to more than 10 million users and become a verb in the process. "I'll Slack you" is shorthand for sending a message via the chat platform. Now it's going public.


Houston on track to trade more goods in 2019: report   8%

The volume of goods flowing through Houston increased 5.9 percent in the first four months of 2019 compared to the same period a year earlier.


Bob Seger takes a personal approach with his concert openers for the good of all involved   50%


For many years now, Seger has been sharing his stage with up-and-coming performers who have earned his admiration — including many Michigan acts.

       


Brace for a Voter-Turnout Tsunami  


Signs are growing that voter turnout in 2020 could reach the highest levels in decades—if not the highest in the past century—with a surge of new voters potentially producing the most diverse electorate in American history.

But paradoxically, that surge may not dislodge the central role of the predominantly white and heavily working-class voters who tipped the three Rust Belt states that decided 2016: Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Even amid a tide of new participation, those same voters could remain the tipping point of the 2020 election.

With Donald Trump’s tumultuous presidency stirring such strong emotions among both supporters and opponents, strategists in both parties and academic experts are now bracing for what Michael McDonald, a University of Florida political scientist who specializes in voting behavior, recently called “a voter turnout storm of a century in 2020.”

In a recent paper, the Democratic voter-targeting firm Catalist projected that about 156 million people could vote in 2020, an enormous increase from the 139 million who cast ballots in 2016. Likewise, Public Opinion Strategies, a leading Republican polling firm, recently forecast that the 2020 contest could produce a massive turnout that is also unprecedentedly diverse.

“I think we are heading for a record presidential turnout at least in the modern era, and by that I mean since the franchise went to 18-year-olds,” in 1972, says Glen Bolger, a partner at Public Opinion Strategies. “And I mean not only in total numbers [but also] in terms of the percentage of eligible voters [who turn out]. The emotion behind politics … is sky-high, and I don’t think it’s just on one side. I think it’s on both sides.”

[Read: The Democratic debate over winning back Trump’s base]

McDonald thinks the turnout surge in 2020 could shatter even older records, estimating that as many as two-thirds of eligible voters may vote next year. If that happens, it would represent the highest presidential-year turnout since 1908, when 65.7 percent of eligible Americans cast a ballot, according to McDonald’s figures. Since 18-year-olds were granted the vote, the highest showing was the 61.6 percent of eligible voters who showed up in 2008, leading to Barack Obama’s victory. And since World War II, the highest turnout level came in 1960, with John F. Kennedy’s win, when 63.8 percent of voters participated.

Experts on both sides point to an array of indicators that signal turnout may reach new heights next year. Signs of political interest, from the number of small-donor contributions made to presidential candidates to the viewership for cable news, are all spiking. In polls, very high shares of Americans already say they are paying a lot of attention to the 2020 presidential race.

But the clearest sign that high turnout may be approaching in 2020 is that it already arrived in 2018. In last year’s midterm, nearly 120 million people voted, about 35 million more than in the previous midterm, in 2014, with 51 percent of eligible voters participating—a huge increase over the previous three midterms. The 2018 level represented the largest share of eligible voters to turn out in a midterm year since 1914, according to McDonald’s figures. Catalist estimated that about 14 million new voters who had not participated in 2016 turned out two years later, and they preferred Democrats by a roughly 20-percentage-point margin.

Yet one of the key questions for 2020 is whether Democrats will benefit as much from the likely expansion of the electorate. With Trump on the ballot directly, Republicans hope that 2020 will produce a surge not only in the younger and nonwhite voters who increased their participation in 2018, but also the non-college-educated whites at the foundation of the president’s support, who lagged last year.

The nature of the population eligible to vote is evolving in a way that should indeed help Democrats. McDonald estimates that the number of eligible voters increases by about 5 million each year, or about 20 million from one presidential election to the next. That increase predominantly flows from two sources: young people who turn 18 and immigrants who become citizens. Since people of color are now approaching a majority of the under-18 population—and also constitute most immigrants—McDonald and other experts believe it’s likely that minorities represent a majority of the people who have become eligible to vote since 2016.

The generational contrast in the eligible voting pool is also stark. States of Change, a nonpartisan project studying shifts in the electorate, projects that Millennials (born, according to the organization’s definition, from 1981 to 2000) will constitute 34.2 percent of eligible voters next year. Post-Millennials (born after 2000) will make up another 3.4 percent. That means those two groups combined will virtually equal the share of eligible voters composed of Baby Boomers (28.4 percent) and the Silent and Greatest Generations (another 9.4 percent).

These shifts have enormous implications because of the generational gulf in attitudes toward Trump and the parties more broadly. His approval rating has consistently lagged among the more racially diverse, socially tolerant younger generations. Though Trump and the GOP have shown some signs of weakness recently among seniors, he has generally polled much better among voters older than 50, in part because a much larger share of Americans in that cohort are white.

“The group of voters that is going to increase at the fastest rate [in 2020] is Millennials,” says Josh Schwerin, the communications director of Priorities USA, a leading Democratic super PAC that is already organizing in swing states for next year. “Donald Trump is at a horrible standing with them and doing nothing to help himself.”

But the change in the eligible-voter pool is only one factor in determining who actually votes in each election. It represents, in effect, the denominator in the equation; the numerator is how big a share of eligible voters in each group shows up. The effect of the growing number of eligible Millennials and minorities (particularly Latinos) has been blunted because their turnout has lagged behind that of older voters and white people—a dynamic that has especially affected Democrats in the diversifying Sun Belt states, where they have struggled to overturn years of Republican dominance.

In 2016, the Census calculated that almost two-thirds of eligible white voters cast a ballot. By contrast, African American turnout fell to 59 percent—a sharp decline from both of Barack Obama’s elections—and Latino turnout remained at typically modest levels, just below 48 percent. Young people stayed home, too: Only about 46 percent of eligible voters under 30 turned out, far below the participation among those 45 and older.

In 2018, though, those patterns altered. Turnout typically falls for all voter groups in midterm elections compared with the previous presidential race, but that falloff was much smaller than usual last year. Moreover, while turnout surged across virtually all groups, it increased most sharply among the voters who historically have participated at the lowest levels. For instance, the Census Bureau reported that turnout among voters under 30 last year jumped to about 36 percent of eligible voters, compared with just 20 percent in 2014. That still left young people far behind the turnout rate among seniors, about two-thirds of whom voted, but their rate of increase from the previous election was much greater. Similarly, the Census Bureau found that the turnout rate in 2018 increased more for Latinos and Asian Americans than it did for white people.

[Read: Trump is walling off the GOP]

The most conspicuous exception to this pattern of greater gains for groups with lower participation was white working-class voters, a constituency that has become the backbone of the GOP coalition, especially under Trump. In recent elections, white working-class voters have turned out at a rate slightly above minorities’, but well below that of white voters with at least a four-year college degree. College-educated whites have been moving toward the Democrats in recent decades, a transition that has accelerated under Trump.

In 2018, according to McDonald’s calculations from census data, about 45 percent of eligible white people without a college degree voted. But while that was a roughly 12-point increase from their turnout rate in the previous midterm, both minorities and college-educated whites raised their participation by larger amounts—16 percent and 17 percent, respectively—and both groups broke toward the Democrats.

Experts like McDonald broadly expect young people and minorities to again increase their turnout more in 2020 than older people and white people will. “Everyone’s turnout tends to go up” in a surge election year, “but the increases predominantly come from the lower-turnout groups because they have more room to increase,” he says. If turnout is high in 2020 overall, “you would think … that these younger people, persons of color, lower-educated, lower-income people … are the people who are going to see the highest turnout increase of all the groups we observe.”

Schwerin, from Priorities USA, says his group also forecasts greater Millennial improvement in 2020 compared with older generations. But he warns that such an increase is hardly guaranteed, even under Trump. “We expect young people will be the group that grows the most,” he says. “But Trump does not solve the problem. It is important that Democrats are investing in time and resources in talking to communities we need to turn out. It’s not going to happen on its own; Trump alone is not going to do it.”

A major wild card for 2020 is how much blue-collar-white turnout might rebound after its disappointing showing in 2018—and whether Democrats can sustain the small but significant recovery they demonstrated with that group last fall. McDonald has calculated that the total number of eligible nonvoters in 2018 divided exactly in half between those working-class white people on one side, and minorities and white-collar white people on the other.

In relying as heavily on working-class white people as he does, Trump is pushing against a demographic current that has steadily run in the opposite direction for many years.

Data from States of Change show that over the past quarter-century, white voters without a college education have typically declined as a share of actual voters little by little over each four-year presidential cycle: They fell from 61 percent of voters in 1992 to 44 percent in 2016. Minority voters, meanwhile, have increased over those seven election cycles from 15 percent in 1992 to 26 percent in 2016. And college-educated whites have drifted up, from 24 percent in 1992 to 30 percent in 2016.

The 2016 election, however, was something of an anomaly for blue-collar white people. Partly because Trump inspired so many non-college-educated white voters to turn out—and partly because African American turnout skidded so badly—white working-class voters declined less than usual in 2016 as a share of the electorate, States of Change concluded. But in 2018, as turnout surged among minority and younger voters, non-college-educated whites suffered a much sharper decline: Compared with 2014, they fell by 4 to 5 percentage points as a share of the total vote, according to both Catalist’s estimates and McDonald’s analysis of census figures. That’s about double their average decline from one presidential election to the next over the past quarter-century.

Ruy Teixeira, a veteran liberal analyst and a co-founder of States of Change, believes it’s likely that in 2020 the decline in blue-collar white people’s share of the total vote could again push toward the high end of recent experience, shrinking by as much as 3 percentage points, to just over 40 percent. “I think if we do have a high-turnout election that builds on the trends we saw in 2018, you might see the white non-college share decline significantly more than it did in 2016,” Teixeira says.

Those changes pose obvious problems for Trump in winning the national popular vote. But they also present a challenge for Democrats, because these shifts are not evenly distributed among the states. The electorate is not diversifying nearly as fast in the three Rust Belt states that Trump dislodged from the Blue Wall—Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Those states, for years to come, will remain older and whiter than the nation overall, meaning that to win them, Democrats have to run better with older, whiter voters than they do in most places.

And while the minority population is growing steadily in existing and emerging Sun Belt battlegrounds—such as Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, Georgia, and even Texas—Trump has demonstrated a formidable ability to offset that change by turning out older, rural, evangelical, and blue-collar white people in those places. In stark contrast to the national forecasts, Schwerin says Priorities USA projects that non-college-educated whites will represent a slightly larger share of the vote in the battleground states next time than they did in 2016.

[Read: Democrats’ two roads to beating Trump]

Unless and until Democrats can tip some of the potential Sun Belt battlegrounds, particularly Arizona, Florida, and North Carolina, the party can’t reach 270 Electoral College votes without recapturing some of the Rust Belt states least affected by demographic change.

Teixeira is one of many Democratic strategists who say the party’s top priority must remain regaining those Rust Belt states, because it cannot yet rely enough on the Sun Belt. “How can you possibly count on these states?” he says. “Democrats haven’t won Florida for a while. Arizona, they haven’t won in a million years. Georgia, Texas—are you kidding me? These are hard states. You cannot build a strategy around having to win those states.”

Chipping into Trump’s base of non-college-educated and rural white voters isn’t the only way for Democrats to win back the Rust Belt states he took in 2016: They could also theoretically recapture them by increasing turnout among young people and minorities, and converting more suburban white people. But in a 2020 election likely to be defined by a historic surge of new voters, many Democrats are resigned to facing the same old challenge of scratching out a few more votes in mostly white union halls and country diners across the Upper Midwest.


US loses billions as Chinese tourists stay away over trade war   3%

The number of arrivals from China to the US fell last year for the first time in 15 years. The Chinese are the world's highest-spending foreign visitors and their tourism dollar is sorely missed.


Old spy photos reveal Himalayan glaciers melting much faster  

Glaciers on the Himalayas have been losing ice at a rate of one percent a year since 2000, a new science study says.


Coffee en route to synagogue on Shabbat? No problem in 18th century Prague  

250 years ago, the city’s rabbis ruled that coffeehouses in the Jewish quarter were permitted to open on the Sabbath


Buddys Pizza celebrates 73 years with party, $7.30 discounts cards  


Buddy's Pizza is offering discounted coupons for pizza to use each month through the end of the year.

       


William Loverd, Who Promoted Literary Giants, Dies at 78  

He chaperoned the works of dozens of writers at Alfred A. Knopf for almost 40 years. “Bill and Knopf,” a colleague said, “were entirely synonymous.”


Two men wearing skullcaps targeted in anti-Semitic incidents in Germany   6%

The number of anti-Semitic incidents recently reported in Berlin is about 14 percent higher than last year; 2018 saw a total of 1,083 cases


See Apollo 11 video like you've never seen before  


"It was jaw-dropping," says the director of "Apollo 11." Todd Douglas Miller talks about discovering 50 year old film in pristine condition. Watch the TV premiere of 'Apollo 11' on Sunday, June 23 at 9 p.m. ET/PT.


Washington saw record thunderstorm activity in 2018, but very little lightning. How do we explain this paradox?   -5%

2018 was a record year for thunder days, but lightning flashes were strangely depressed.


New 2020 Ram 1500 will offer EcoDiesel   25%


The announcement comes after a class-action was settled earlier this year with owners of 2014-16 EcoDiesel Ram pickups and Jeep Grand Cherokees.

       


Human Rights Watch founder, former publisher Robert Bernstein dies at 96   -20%

Bernstein also headed Random House for nearly 25 years, emerging as a leading figure in the publishing world


Ruskin Bond aka Bestseller Bond has turned 85 and is out with a new memoir  


Bond has been selling well for 30 years - a million copies with one publisher alone!


Domestic air travel bounces back in May   7%


The resilience of Indian airlines has ensured that May 2019 — the first full month after Jet Airways stopped flying in April — saw more domestic passengers than the same month in previous year. May 2019 saw 1.2 crore domestic flyers, up 2.9% from 1.18 crore in May 2018.


XXXTentacion remembered a year after his death  


New projects are still coming from XXXTentacion a year after his death.


Medicare for all why supporters cant agree what it should mean  

Support for single-payer health care seems to have risen over the past year or so, but such a plan presents complex, and controversial, choices.


Italian great-grandmother Giuseppina Robucci, Europes oldest person, dies aged 116   2%


A 116-year-old Italian woman who authorities say was the oldest person in Europe and the second oldest in the world has died.Italian news agency ANSA said Giuseppina Robucci died on Tuesday in the southern Italian town of Poggio Imperiale, where she was born on March 20, 1903. She lived 116 years and 90 days.Robert Young of the US-based Gerontology Research Group said that Robucci was the last European born in 1903. She was just two months younger than the current oldest living person, Kane…


More Queensland police are drawing their guns   8%

Officers drew their guns 410 times in the first four months of this year, up 70 per cent on the same period last year.


South Africa: MEC Desbo Mohono Hosts Youth in Agriculture Dialogue, 25-26 June  

[Govt of SA] In order to commemorate the 2019 Youth Month, the North West MEC for Agriculture and Rural Development, Desbo Mohono will host youth from all four districts in all sub-sectors of agriculture and rural development for a two day dialogue to be held under the theme: "25 Years of Democracy: promoting youth activism through conversation for economic freedom",in Klerksdorp from the 25 - 26 June 2019.


'Hunger Games' prequel book and film planned   18%


A new "Hunger Games" novel set decades before the original best-selling trilogy will be published next year, its publisher said June 17, with plans for an accompanying film already under way.


Nigerian women's team hoping for World Cup revenge against France   -9%

The Nigerian women’s football team are training hard in preparation for their match against the French hosts on June 17 – hoping that they won’t undergo a repeat of their 8-0 drubbing at the hands of Les Bleues last year.


China's leader makes historic visit to North Korea   8%


Xi Jinping has departed Beijing for Pyongyang, a historic trip that marks the first time a Chinese leader has traveled to North Korea in 14 years.


Former A-League winner Dylan McGowan joins Western Sydney Wanderers  

Western Sydney Wanderers have found their replacement for departed skipper Brendan Hamill, signing the former Adelaide United defender for three years.


Shania Twain set to party again in Vegas with new residency   20%


Since Shania Twain launched her first residency in Las Vegas seven years ago, Sin City has been invaded with contemporary pop stars, from Lady Gaga to Drake to Christina Aguilera, jumping on the residency trend. Even Cardi B has plans for a short-term Vegas residency this year.


Pride: Marching on the right side of history   20%



I was proud to be the first PC leader to march in the Toronto and Ottawa Pride parades with an official delegation. A leader bears the responsibility for setting the tone of their leadership. It would be a shame if there was no Conservative leader at the Pride Parade this year after the progress we had made in recent years.


Rafael Nadal, Pillar of Roland Garros, Wins the French Open for the 12th Time   16%


It was the second consecutive year Nadal had beaten Dominic Thiem in the final. Nadal is now 12-0 in finals in Paris and has 18 Grand Slam singles titles over all.


Graeme McDowell, After a Down Spell, Is in the Hunt for a 2nd U.S. Open Title   -5%


The 39-year-old McDowell was ranked as low as 257th in the world this year. But he has rallied of late, and his two-under-par first round left him in contention to repeat his 2010 Open victory.


Furry head of 32,000-year-old Ice Age wolf found in Russian Arctic  


A first intact head of a gigantic adult wolf, which died about 32,000 years ago and was preserved in permafrost has been found in the Russian Arctic, scientists have said.Covered with thick fur, the head was found by a local on the banks of the Tirekhtyakh River in Russia’s remote Arctic region of Yakutia last summer.It features a well-preserved brain, soft tissue and a set of powerful teeth and measures 41.5 centimetres (16 inches) in length.By comparison, the torso of a modern-day wolf is…


Why cruises float the boats of the Instagram generation   60%


Millennials become the biggest market for luxury liners as they share holiday moments using onboard wifi

When Emma Le Teace, 25, tried to get her boyfriend to go on a cruise with her, he didn’t want to go. She booked it regardless – and he loved it. “I think he’s been on five now.”

She has been on 21 cruises, and is planning three more this year. “I love visiting new places and, with a cruise, you know your view is going to be completely different each morning when you wake up. A kind of excitement builds up as you get closer to a new destination.”

Continue reading...


A trip to Japan with my teenage nephew leads to life lessons   20%


"You know,” Mike, my brother-in-law, said to me when his son Matthew, was born, “when he's 16 you're taking him to Japan.”

“That sounds cool,” I said, thinking to myself “Yeah, that'll happen.”

But Mike is pretty persistent, and 16 years later Matthew (now Matt) and I were on a plane to Tokyo.

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